Blue Jays 2020 First Round Pick: An Early Look at Some Candidates

Abel
Mick Abel – Pamplin Media Group photo

After finishing with the fifth worst record in baseball, the Blue Jays will be “rewarded” with the fifth overall pick. I was optimistic they’d finish in the bottom-3 and get their choice of the ever-so-loaded prep outfielding group. Instead, they’ll have to settle with some backup plans. Luckily, this class is deep and whoever they get at 5 should be a perennial all-star on the MLB Level. That’s (obviously) if they hit on the pick and don’t whiff on it. So let’s look at some future Jays.

 

RK POS FIRST LAST FUTURE

VALUE

SCHOOL
1 OF Spencer Torkelson 70 Arizona State
2 RHP Emerson Hancock 60 Georgia
3 OF Dylan Crews 55 Lake Mary HS
4 OF Pete Crow-Armstrong 50 Harvard-Westlake HS
5 C Drew Romo 50 The Woodlands HS
6 RHP Mick Abel 50 Jesuit HS
7 OF Austin Hendrick 50 West Allegheny HS
8 OF Zac Veen 50 Spruce Creek HS
9 OF Robert Hassell III 50 Independence HS
10 C Tyler Soderstrom 50 Turlock HS

 

The most realistic pick for me at 5 is Mick Abel, he’s a consensus mid-top-10 player and a perfect fit for a team trying to build a homegrown rotation. The Jays have added Anthony Kay, Kendall Williams, Alex Manoah, and Simoeon Woods Richardson all in a six-month window. Mick Abel would fight with SWR for the top spot, and seriously contend for Nate Pearson’s replacement at the top of the Jays’ prospect pipeline. His mid-90’s wipeout fastball complemented with a borderline plus CB will play into a rotation role at the MLB level. I wouldn’t necessarily dream of a Mick Abel selection at 5, but if it were the case, I could live with it.

 

My favorite, but somewhat unrealistic pick at 5 is Pete Crow-Armstrong, Drew Romo or Dylan Crews. Luckily, one of those three will be on the board at 3. The first two picks are set already, and the dominos will fall after them in any way possible. My absolute dream at 5 is a Dylan Crews underslot. Crews is my #3 player in the class and has dropped to around the high-teens, low 20s range for his ranking. His summer wasn’t as expected and raised concerns over his hit tool and BB recognition. But Crews is the Jays clear need in the system, they lack athletic OFs with plus power and Crews gives them that.

 

My silver medal at 5 is arguably by biggest prospect crush in the class – Drew Romo. He’s a bluechip catcher with a plus arm, plus glove and 45 bat. The power has flashed 50 and could play into a top-of-the order role. Everything I’ve heard about the kid has been positive, whether it’s about him in the dugout as a leader, off the field as a person, or behind the plate as a high instinctive catcher with a great grasp of what he’s doing. Romo at 5 is a home run, I don’t see the Jays taking him, but it would be a welcome surprise.

 

The draft is still six-months away and a full college baseball season approaches us. The prep players have submitted their resumes, meaning the majority of changes on draft boards will be the Hunter Bishop’s of the ‘19 class. Somebody like Hayden Cantrelle from Louisiana Lafayette, or one of many (also Arizona State hitters, like Bishop) in Steven Williams, Alika Williams, or the best of them all – Gage Workman. Let the College season begin!

6 thoughts on “Blue Jays 2020 First Round Pick: An Early Look at Some Candidates

  1. Nice post, really enjoy following your draft talk. Its seems as though the industry is viewing Crews as a mid to late 1st (similar to Groshans in 2018) so I am surprised to hear you think its a long shot to get him at 5. It appears that Tork, Hancock and Martin are the consensus top 3.

    If we secured an under-slot deal with Crews, who is your target in round 2 with the higher bonus? Do you think Alejandro Rosario would be in play?

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    1. Thank you! Yeah, I’m higher then most for Crews so getting him at 5 would be a blessing (as of now, that can change).

      On Austin Martin, I think he’ll rise as the draft gets closer with the college season starting soon. I don’t think he’s got a high ceiling. He has one of the lowest “bust%’s” in the class and will be an MLB player at some point. His upside isn’t anywhere close to some of the other players. He’ll be a top-5 Pick for sure.

      Rosario is interesting because I don’t think a team will offer him enough money to sign. He’s the best prep arm in the class I think, as of now. He’s a 10-20 talent but his Signability is a massive ?. I haven’t heard anything on that.

      Regarding the Jays on Day 2, What I would do is sign the 2nd/3rd rounders to massive overslots and try to get UNCs Ace – Gianluca Dalatri who’s a Senior in the 4th to get a talented player and save lots of $. Somebody like Soderstrom, Bowser, Zabala, Walker, and Bruno are all candidates for overslot deals in the 2nd. I’ve been high on Soderstrom since June and think he’s a 10-20 talent but the consensus is an early Day 2 talent.

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  2. Your have many HS players listed that the Jays will be looking at potentially drafting. With the fear of drafting a HS player who has most likely committed to an NCAA program do you think it is more realistic that the Jays draft someone in the NCAA (Asa Lacy/Cole Wilcox/Jim Caliss). I know that a top 10 is usually a lock to sign but in 2018 the number 8 overall didn’t sign (because Atlanta was offering under slot value as the Braves had concerns over a wrist injury, player now plays in NPB) but this is something to consider when making the selection.

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    1. No, a player being committed to a school is irrelevant. The only school that is meaningful in a commitment is Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt commits are usually hard to sign away, but any player good enough to be getting drafted is already committed and was probably committed in middle school/early High school.

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    1. Lacey is a really good arm, and Abel’s even better. I’d be down for Mick Abel at 5 right now. Although (as of now) I’d want Romo or Crews.

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